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Fall Course 2014-2015: Stochastic Process Modeling for Ecological Processes

Schedule: Wednesdays 4:30 pm at SAMSI, Research Triangle Park, NC, beginning September 3, 2014 No class during week of Thanksgiving: Wednesday Nov 26, 2014 Last class: December 3, 2014 Instructors: L. Miller, A. Lloyd, D. Adalsteinsson, J. Clark, A. Gelfand The central theme of this proposed course is the use of stochastic process models to introduce desired behaviors into models for complex ecological processes. Objective include both emulation and data analysis. Specifically, there will be a focus on (stochastic) pde's for dynamical systems with application to invasive and emerging infections (Lloyd) and to dispersal and spatial effects in competition models (Miller). There can be demanding coding aspects to this work with the possibility of some flipped classroom "lectures" (Adalsteinsson, Miller). On the more statistical side, the emphasis would be on hierarchical modeling with examples of hierarchical models for inference on seed dispersal and pde's for population growth (Clark) supplemented with space-time diffusions for invasive species (Gelfand). Model development here would be complemented with some computer labs in R. Registration for this course is being processed through your respective university: UNC-CH: STOR 930 Section 001 (cross-listed with MATH 892 Section 001) Duke: STA 790.04 NCSU: MA 810.002 For additional information about this course, send e-mail to [email protected]

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Notes for class November 19th

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Class materials November 12th

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Notes for November 5th

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Materials for class October 29th

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Alan's slides for October 22nd

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Slides for October 1st (Alun Lloyd's first lecture)

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Dynamical Systems Background

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R Code Exercises 1 and 2 HWK1