2011-12 Program on Uncertainty Quantification: Engineering and Renewable Energy
Analyzing and predicting the behavior of complex systems with multiple length and time scales has become a central activity across the broad spectrum of engineering fields. For such systems, limited information can be obtained from observation and experiment. Consequently, simulation-based science has become an essential tool across engineering as well. Since important and costly engineering decisions, e.g. product and system design, depend critically on simulation, uncertainty quantification has become increasingly vital to engineering advances.
The program will consider uncertainty quantification issues arising in a number of engineering fields, e.g., materials, circuits, aeronautics, fusion and fission reactors, nano/MEMS-scale devices. Given the increasing importance of sustainability to the national interest, we will place particular emphasis on engineering of green and renewable energy sources along with related environmental engineering issues. Some specific applications to be considered include smart grid models, solar power, fuel cells and batteries, green fuel sources, risk models (including environmental risk and financial risk), economic impact models and eco-toxicology (carbon sequestration models for instance).
Organizers: Don Estep (Colorado State), Roger Ghanem (University of Southern California), Miriam Heller (MHITech Systems)
Program Workshops:
Opening Workshop on Engineering & Renewable Energy: September 19-21, 2011
Scientific Programs for the Smart Grid: October 3-5, 2011
Multiscale Modeling and Uncertainty Quantification for Nuclear Fuel Performance: January 25-26, 2012
Mini-workshop/special seminar series on multiscale, multiphysics models in materials, energy and sustainability issues
The purpose of this mini-workshop/seminar series is to explore issues of uncertainty and error that arise in complex multsicale and multiphysics models used in materials and energy research. We will host leading application domain scientists and engineers to describe their multiphysics models in detail, and then describe the UQ issues that are relevant for the context of their models. The talks will be followed by several hours of discussion aimed at discovering the important details for UQ research. One goal of the series will be to foster new research collaborations.
The series will focus on materials and energy, especially as related to issues important to sustainability, including nuclear fuel, coal gas production, batteries and fuel cells, wind power, material modeling, pollution, power grid, and so on.
November 3, 2011: Khalil Elkhodary (Northwestern), Construction of multiscale materials models
November 17, 2011: Hany Abdel-Khalik (N.C. State and INL), Multiscale modeling of neutronics
December 15, 2011: Ayetkin Gel (NETL), UQ in upscaling goal-gas plant prototypes
February 23, 2012: Wei Chen (Northwestern University), Stochastic Multiscale Analysis and Design