Location
This week long workshop was held at North Carolina State University.
Description
It provided an introduction to mathematical and statistical challenges in climate research. Talks were presented by statisticians and mathematicians who work in climate change research, as well as by other scientists. Students were introduced to different aspects of interdisciplinary research and the role of mathematics and statistics.
Concurrently, through the week, we used modeling of the occurrence of hurricanes as an example, and students worked with real data that is currently used to predict hurricanes. Students were provided with an overview of regression modeling for count data, and primarily used the open source software R to model and analyze the hurricane data. These projects were under the supervision of SAMSI postdocs.
Finally, student teams had the option of submitting their modeling results to a public competition for predicting hurricanes.
Schedule and Supporting Media
Sunday, May 12, 2013
NCSU
| 6:00 p.m. | Welcome Reception (Avent Ferry Guest Facilities, 1st floor) |
Monday, May 13, 2013
at SAMSI
| 8:15 | Participants meet at dorm. Transport to SAMSI. |
| 9:00 | Continental Breakfast at SAMSI |
| 9:30 | Announcements and Introduction to SAMSI Snehalata Huzurbazar, SAMSI |
| 10:00-11:45 | Overview of Hurricanes and Seasonal Hurricane Prediction Carl Schreck, National Climate Data Center, and Dorit Hammerling, SAMSI and NCSU |
| Noon | frisbee and Lunch and frisbee |
| 1:30 | Statistics and Climate Research Richard Smith, SAMSI and Dept. of Statistics and Operations Research – UNC |
| 3:00 | Break |
| 3:30 | Mathematics and Climate Research Chris Jones, Dept. of Mathematics – UNC |
| 5:00 | Working Groups formation |
| 5:30 | Dinner at SAMSI |
Tuesday, May 14, 2013
at NCSU
| 8:30 | Continental Breakfast at NCSU, SAS Hall, Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 9:00 | Introduction to Hurricane Database and competition Dorit Hammerling, SAMSI and NCSU, and Stephanie Rushley, Dept. of Marine, Earth, and Atmospheric Sciences, NCSU – Room 2229 |
| 10:00 | Break – Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 10:30 | Working Groups: acquiring the latest data – Rooms 2225, 2229, 2235 |
| 12:00 | Lunch and Grad Students panel – Room 4104, Mathematics Commons Kristin Linn, NCSU Gina-Maria Pomann, NCSU Kevin Penner |
| 1:30-5:00 | Lectures and hands on working with R and hurricane data: SAMSI postdocs and grad fellows Generalized Linear Models in R Kenneth K. Lopiano, Garvesh Raskutti, Dan Yang Generalized Linear Models in R Frequentist and Bayesian Methods Kenneth K. Lopiano, Garvesh Raskutti, Dan Yang, Marybeth Broadbent, and Fernando Bonassi R code |
Wednesday, May 15, 2013
at NCSU
| 8:30 | Continental Breakfast at NCSU, SAS Hall, Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 9:00 | Group Work: work with R; postdocs and grad fellows will be around to answer questions. Room 2225, 2229, 2235. |
| 10:30 | Break – Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 10:45 | Group Work: Groups prepare a short overview of their proposed project to hand in before lunch. Rooms 2225, 2229, 2235. |
| Noon | Lunch – food in Room 4104, Mathematics Commons. Eat in Room 2202 or 4104. |
| 1:00-2:15 | Statistical Methods for Studying Pollution Montserrat Fuentes, Dept. of Statistics, NCSU. Room 2229. |
| 2:15-2:45 | Break – Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 2:45-3:15 | Giving Presentations: content, organization, software Yi (Grace) Wang, SAMSI. Room 2229. |
| 3:30-5:00 | Group Work – postdocs and grad fellows will be around to help. Rooms 2225, 2229, 2235. |
Thursday, May 16, 2013
at NCSU
| 8:30 | Continental Breakfast at NCSU, SAS Hall, Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 9:00-12:00 | Group Work – postdocs and grad fellows will be around to help. Rooms 2225, 2229, 2235. (Break in Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge) |
| 12:00-1:30 | Lunch and Career Panel. Room 4104, Mathematics Commons Nate Burch, Postdoc, SAMSI and NCSU; about to start as Assistant Professor, Gonzaga University Hazel Nichols, Research Fellow, National Institutes of Environmental Health Sciences Chris Gotwalt, Director of JMP Statistical Research and Development |
| 1:30-5:00 | Group Work – postdocs and grad fellows will be around to help Rooms 2225, 2229, 2235. (Break in Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge) |
Friday, May 17, 2013
at NCSU
| 8:30 | Continental Breakfast at NCSU, SAS Hall, Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 9:00 | Group presentations and discussions – Room 2229 |
| 10:15 | Break – Room 2202, Undergrad Lounge |
| 10:30 | Group presentations and discussions – Room 2229 |
| Noon | Adjourn |
Group Presentations
Group 1: Nicole Gardner, Daniel Miller, Julian (Quan) Zhou
Modeling Annual Eastern U.S.Tropical Cyclone Landfall Counts
Group 2: Charles Ho, Anna Peris, Lee Richardson
Hurricane Landfall Predictions
Group 3: Evan Bittner, Daria Drozdova, Maryam Khan, Kasey Palmquist
Hurricane Landfall Modeling
Group 4: Biyue Dai, Alex Kokinov, Christopher Pratt
Group 5: Zachariah Casey, Shana Kachaochana, Verity Robert
Group 6: Brandon Sherman, Vinicius Taguchi, Kehao Zhu
2013 Hurricane Season Predictions
Group 7: Matthew Jastrebski, Nicole Slagle, Jane Zanzig
Group 8: Meagan Lovins, Nathan Wall, Xiuyuan Yu
Group 9: Adrianna Boghozian, Tracy Qi Dong, Dan King
Tropical Storms
Group 10: Ashley Corkill, Roger Estep, Yue Liu
Hurricane Forecasting Using Regression Modeling
Group 11: Corey Raphael, Jonathan Skantz, Xinyu (Gwendolyn) Tian
R Models for Hurricane Data