MUMS Transition Workshop and SPUQ: May 14-17, 2019

** Deadline for applications for this workshop is March 29, 2019 **

(Applications received after March 29th are subject to availability)


This workshop will be held at Sitterson Hall, Room 014 on the campus of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.


The SAMSI program on Model Uncertainty: Mathematical and Statistical has brought statisticians and applied mathematicians together with disciplinary scientists from a variety of fields, to better understand the effects of modeling and uncertainty on predictions, typically called Uncertainty Quantification (UQ). This joint workshop is designed to bring together SAMSI researchers in UQ and UQ researchers who could not participate in the MUMS program, both to share the results of SAMSI research and to assess the overall state of UQ. The first half of the workshop will highlight research from the MUMS program year, addressing foundational questions in UQ, the strength and weaknesses of models, and computational methods and applications of UQ. The second half will focus on non-SAMSI researchers, under the auspices of the second workshop on Statistical (and mathematical) Perspectives on Uncertainty Quantification (SPUQ), following up on the first SPUQ conference, held in 2017 at Georgia Tech University.

**NOTE: The schedule below is tentative. Times, speakers and talks for this schedule are subject to change. Please check this page regularly for updates as the event gets closer. **

** Notice of Consent **

SAMSI values the proprietary and intellectual property of our participants. The materials presented at our various workshops and programs are in high demand by event participants and the applied mathematics and statistics community that comprise our audience. Therefore, we encourage all of our invited speakers to share their materials, as appropriate, in order to pass along the valuable research that is being done in your field of study and is a focus of this event. In addition, unless SAMSI is give written approval from our speakers we ARE NOT authorized to share the materials presented at this event.

Please click HERE to complete a SAMSI Consent form for this event. SAMSI appreciates your time and willingness to share this valuable content with others and we hope you enjoy this event!
For any questions or concerns about our consent policy, please contact us at:

** A Poster Session will be held on the evening of Thursday, May 16, 2019. **

Schedule and Supporting Media

Printed Schedule

Tuesday, May 14, 2019
Sitterson Hall, Room 014, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC

Time Description Speaker Slides
8:50-9:00am Welcome David Banks, SAMSI
Bruce Pitman, University at Buffalo SAMSI
9:00-11:30am Data Fusion Working Group (with a break)
11:30am-12:30pm UQ in Materials Working Group
12:30-2:00pm LUNCH
2:00-5:30pm Prediction Uncertainty and Extrapolation Working Group (with a break)
5:45pm Shuttle to Hotel

Wednesday, May 15, 2019
Sitterson Hall, Room 014, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC

Time Description Speaker Slides
9:00-11:30am Reduced Order Models Working Group (with a break)
11:30am-1:00pm Storm Surge Hazard and Risk Working Group
1:00-2:30pm LUNCH
2:30-5:30pm Foundations of Model Uncertainty Working Group (with a break)
5:45pm Shuttle to Hotel

Thursday, May 16, 2019
Sitterson Hall, Room 014, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC

Time Description Speaker Slides
8:50-9:00am Opening Remarks SPUQ Elaine Spiller, Marquette University and SAMSI
Roshan Joseph, Georgia Institute of Technology
9:00-10:00am Keynote Address Jeff Wu, Georgia Institute of Technology
10:00-10:30am BREAK
10:30am-12:00pm Invited Session on Design in UQ
Experimental Design for Model Calibration (Tentative) William Brenneman, Proctor and Gamble
A Sequential Design Approach for Calibrating a Dynamic Population Growth Model Devon Lin, Queens University
Design of Experiments for Calibration of Computational Models David Woods, University of Southampton
12:00-1:30pm LUNCH
1:30-3:00pm Invited Session on Dimensional Analysis Earl Lawrence, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Will Welch, University of British Columbia
Brian Williams, Los Alamos National Laboratory
3:00-3:30pm BREAK
3:30-5:00pm Invited Session on “Perspectives on Sensitivity in UQ”
Mathematical Perspective Pierre Gremaud, N.C. State University
Statistical Perspective Max Morris, Iowa State University
5:00-5:15pm Discussion Ralph Smith, N.C. State University
5:15-5:30pm Floor Discussion
5:30-7:00pm Poster Session and Reception Ralph Smith, N.C. State University
7:15pm Shuttle to Hotel

Friday, May 17, 2019
Sitterson Hall, Room 014, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC

Time Description Speaker Slides
9:00-10:30am Invited Session Oksana Chkrebtii, Ohio State University
Computer Experiments with Binary Time Series and Applications to Cell Biology: Modeling, Estimation, and Calibration Ying Hung, Rutgers University
10:30-11:00am BREAK
11:00am-12:30pm Invited Session: Philosophical Perspective on Model Uncertainty Rebecca Morrison, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Opening up the Black Box: Gaussian Process Modeling using Information from Partial Differential Equation Models Matthias Tan, City University of Hong Kong
Roshan Joseph, Georgia Institute of Technology
12:30-2:00pm LUNCH
2:00-3:00pm Invited Session Simon Cotter, University of Manchester
Lulu Kang, Illinois Institute of Technology
3:00-3:30pm BREAK
3:30-4:50pm New Researchers Invited Session Arindam Fadikar, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Michael Grosskopf, Los Alamos National Laboratory
Simon Mak, Georgia Institute of Technology
Denielle Ricciardi, Ohio State University
4:50-5:00pm Farewell
5:20pm → Shuttle to Airport

Questions: email