Transportation Workshop: March 9-11, 2020

** Attendance for this workshop is by invitation only **


This event will be held at SAMSI, Research Triangle Park, NC.

SAMSI is in close proximity to major roads in Research Triangle Park. SAMSI is most readily accessible from Durham by the Durham Freeway (NC 147) — Exit 7 and/or NC-54 by way of I-40 East/West and is located in the Research Commons complex (building 4501).

Heading west on T. W. Alexander from the Durham Freeway (Route 147), it is the third lefthand entrance into the complex. Park in the first lot you see, in front of building 4501—there is a red sign saying MEMA on the top of the building. SAMSI is on the third floor.


The Intermediate Workshop on Transportation stems from three groups of the SAMSI program on Games, Decisions, Risk and Reliability. Travel time reliability, Railways maintenance and Autonomous Driving Systems. The workshop will concentrate on those topics, although other aspects of the GDRR program, like the computational ones, will be addressed as well.

The workshop will be very operational since almost all the participants will be asked to give a presentation. The workshop will provide a first opportunity to present and discuss the ongoing work within the GDRR program and confront with experts in the field, external to the program.

Questions: email

Printable Schedule
Speaker Titles/Abstracts

Monday, March 9, 2020
Time Speaker/Talk
8:30 Registration and Welcome
8:50-9:00 Opening Remarks (David Banks, SAMSI & Fabrizio Ruggeri, CNR-IMATI)
9:00-10:30 David Banks, SAMSI
Risks and Benefits of Autonomous Vehicles
Pedro Cesar Lopes Gerum, Rutgers University
Travel Time Reliability in an Incident-Prone Corridor
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-12:30 Feng Guo, Virginia Tech
Crash Surrogates: Valid for Safety Evaluation?
Maggie Mao, SAMSI
Optimal Driver Risk Modeling
12:30-1:30 Lunch at SAMSI
1:30-3:00 Melike Baykal-Gursoy, Rutgers University
Travel Time Reliability in an Incident-Prone Corridor
Alan Karr, AFK Analytics, LLC
Spatial and Temporal Dependence of Travel Time Distributions
3:00-3:30 Break
3:30-5:00 Alex Kosgodagan, and David Rios Insua, Instituto de Ciencias Matematicas
Bayesian Approach to Assess Vehicle-to-Driver Take-Over Risks in Autonomous Driving Systems
Vadim Sokolov, George Mason University
Practical Bayesian Optimization for Agent Based Transportation Simulators
5:00-7:00 Poster Session and Reception
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
Time Speaker/Talk Slides
9:00-10:30 David Han, University of Texas
Condition-Based Maintenance under Gamma Stochastic Degradation Process
Fabrizio Ruggeri, CNR-IMATI
Wear of Cylinder Liners in Ships: one dataset, many models
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-12:30 Nozer Singpurwalla, George Washington University
A Shot-Noise Process Model for Survivability of Rechargeable Batteries
Ali Rafei, University of Michigan
Robust Bayesian Non-parametric Inference for Non-probability Samples: an attempt to combine sensor-based records with traditional survey data
12:30-1:30 Lunch at SAMSI
1:30-3:00 John McFadden, FHWA
Vehicle Crash Prediction Modelling
Fan Li, Duke University
Evaluate the Causal Relationship between Crash Risk and Cellphone Engagement using Propensity Score Methods
3:00-3:30 Break
3:30-5:00 Refik Soyer, George Washington University
Bayesian Maintenance Strategies for Railroad Tracks
Ayca Altay, Rutgers University
Spatio-temporal Modeling of Railway Defects
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
Time Speaker/Talk Slides
9:00-10:30 Ruda Zhang, SAMSI
Driver Strategy and Multi-market Oligopoly: Evidence from New York City
Tahir Ekin, Texas State University
Augmented Probability Simulation Methods for Non-cooperative Games
10:30-11:00 Break
11:00-12:30 Bowei Xi, Purdue University
Adversarial Attach against Deep Neural Networks and Remedies
Ernest Fokoue, Rochester Institute of Technology
On Some Machine Learning Extensions of the Perennial Cox Proportional Hazard Model
12:30 Box Lunch and Adjourn