2013: Dynamics of Seismicity, Earthquake Clustering and Patterns in Fault Networks: October 9-11, 2013

This workshop was held at SAMSI in Research Triangle Park, NC.

Objectives of the Workshop

samsi_picThe main goal of the workshop was to build and strengthen newly emerging links between active research groups in different scientific areas – statistics/probability, mathematics, physics, geodesy, seismology and computer science – toward achieving a solid understanding of seismicity patterns and structures and a physical theory for earthquake dynamics. The workshop highlighted the key role of the mathematical sciences in studying seismicity dynamics in relation to properties of faults and the curst as an essential component of this interdisciplinary research endeavor.

A quantitative understanding of earthquake dynamics that can improve the ability to forecast large earthquakes remains one of the major unsolved challenges in geophysics despite considerable research. This workshop aimed to achieve progress in this field by taking advantage of the newly available data sets and statistical techniques to address key questions on the properties of structural organization of seismic flow and re-examine the key statistical laws of seismicity. The workshop brought together a diverse group of scientists to review the state of the art in statistical seismology and initiate new cross-disciplinary collaborative efforts.

This SAMSI workshop was organized as a part of the international program Mathematics of Planet Earth 2013, in cooperation with the Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability via the Committee on Probability and Statistics in Physical Sciences and the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics via the Commission on Mathematical Geophysics.

Schedule and Supporting Media

Participant List
Speaker Titles and Abstracts
Poster Titles

Wednesday, October 9, 2013
at SAMSI, Room 150

Time Description Speaker Slides Videos
8:30-8:50 Registration
8:50-9:00 Introduction and Welcome Snehalata Huzurbazar
9:00-9:15 Introduction and Summary of a companion workshop at BANFF Ilya Zaliapin
9:15-10:15 Crustal Seismicity, Geophysics, and State of Stress Along the Pacific North America Plate Boundary in Southern California Egill Hauksson, California Institute of Technology  
10:15-10:30 Break
10:30-11:30 Improved Understanding of Earthquake Triggering from Waveform Matching Technique Zhigang Peng, Georgia Tech  
11:30-12:00 Free-form discussion
12:00-1:30 Lunch (at SAMSI)
1:30-2:30 Geometry of Seismic Zones at Depth from Quantitative Analysis of Earthquake Catalogs Yehuda Ben-Zion, University of Southern California  
2:30-2:50 Break
2:50-3:50 Topology, Structure, Function and Dynamics: Understanding Granular Failure using Optimisation and Complex Systems Antoinette Tordesillas, University of Melbourne
3:50-4:15 Discussion
4:15-4:40 Poster session participants can set up posters; remaining participants can take a break (there are walking paths near the building and frisbees are also available.)
4:40-6:45 Poster Session and Reception

Thursday, October 10, 2013
at SAMSI, Room 150


Time Description Speaker Slides Videos
8:55-9:00 Morning Announcements – Snehalata Huzurbazar
9:00-10:00 Complex network models for statistical seismology Bala Rajaratnam, Stanford University  
10:00-10:02 Break
10:20-11:20 Ontology of Earthquake Probability: Metaphor Philip Stark, University of California-Berkeley  
11:20-12:00 Free-form discussion
12:00-1:30 Lunch (at SAMSI)
1:30-2:30 Spatio-temporal Evolution of Seismic Clusters in Southern and Central California Ilya Zaliapin, University of Nevada-Reno  
2:30-2:50 Break
2:50-3:50 Stochastic Earthquake Models: Ways to Improve and Insights into the Physical Process David Harte, Statistical Research Associates, New Zealand  
3:50-5:15 Discussion and Poster Session (Upstairs — Commons area)

Friday, October 11, 2013
at SAMSI, Room 150

Time Description Speaker Slides Videos
8:55-9:00 Morning Announcements – Snehalata Huzurbazar
9:00-10:00 A Simple Model for Controlling Stick-Slip Friction and Implications for Effects of Tides on Earthquakes Karin Dahmen, University of Illinois – Urbana-Champaign  
10:00-10:20 Break
10:20-11:20 Spatiotemporal Clustering within Aftershock Sequences Joern Davidsen, University of Calgary  
11:20-12:00 Discussion and Adjourn
12:00-1:00 Box Lunch