2014-15: ECOL: Opening Workshop: August 18-22, 2014

The workshop was held at the North Carolina Biotechnology Center, a short walk from SAMSI.

The purpose of the workshop was to introduce the topics of the program and to identify research themes that will be developed in working groups over the length of the program.

For further information please send an email to eco@samsi.info

Participant List
Speaker Titles and Abstracts
Poster Titles


Monday, August 18, 2014
Hamner Conference Center Auditorium
15 TW Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC

8:00-8:30 a.m. Registration
8:30-8:45 a.m. Introduction and Welcome
8:45-10:00 Tutorial Lecture 1: James S. Clark, Nicholas School of the Environment and Departments of Biology and Statistical Science, Duke University
Dynamic Multivariate Analysis for Biodiversity and Climate Change
10:00-10:30 Break
10:30-12:15 Tutorial Lecture 2: Chris Wikle, Professor of Statistics, University of Missouri
Statistical Methods for Spatio-temporal Processes
12:15-1:30 Lunch (Galleria)
1:30-2:45 Tutorial Lecture 3: Carlos Castillo-Chavez, Simon A Levin Mathematical, Computational and Modeling Sciences Center, Arizona State University
Introduction to the Mathematics of Infectious Diseases Dynamics
2:45-4:00 Tutorial Lecture 4: Charmaine Dean, Faculty of Science, Western University, Ontario
Wildfire and Forest Disease Prediction to Inform Forest Management: Statistical Science Challenges
4:00-4:30 Break
4:30-5:45 Tutorial Lecture 5: George Sugihara, Physical Oceanography Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego
Correlation and Causation

Tuesday, August 19, 2014
Hamner Conference Center Auditorium
15 TW Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC


8:30-8:45 a.m. Registration
  Session 1: Multivariate Inference and Prediction for Biodiversity
Organizers: Alan Gelfand and Jim Clark (Duke University)
8:45-9:30 Andrew Latimer, Department of Plant Sciences, University of California Davis
Using Statistical Models to Study Climate-Disturbance-Plant Interactions
9:30-10:15 Allen Hurlbert, Department of Biology, University of North Carolina
Explaining Biodiversity Patterns, or How to Characterize an Elephant
10:15-10:45 Break
10:45-11:30 Janneke Hille Ris Lambers, Department of Biology, University of Washington
The Implications of Climate Change for Tree Species Distributions in the Pacific Northwest
11:30-12:00 Discussant: Philip Dixon, Department of Statistics, Iowa State University
12:00-12:15 Open discussion
12:15-1:30 Lunch
  Session 2: Ecology of Infectious Diseases
Organizers: Jennifer Hoeting (Colorado State University) and Alun Lloyd (North Carolina State University)
1:30-2:15 Juliet Pulliam, Department of Biology and Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida
Models and Data for Understanding Transmission of Mosquito-borne Zoonoses
2:15-3:00 Zhilan Feng, Department of Mathematics, Purdue University
Emerging Disease Dynamics in a Model Coupling Within-Host and Between-Host Systems
3:00-3:30 Break
3:30-4:15 Jennifer Hoeting, Department of Statistics, Colorado State University
Parameter Inference and Model Selection in Deterministic and Stochastic Dynamical Models: Modeling a Wildlife Epidemic
4:15-4:45 Discussant: Chris Wikle, University of Missouri, Ecology of Infectious Diseases
4:45-5:00 Open discussion
5:00-7:00 Poster Session and Reception

SAMSI will provide poster presentation boards and tape. The board dimensions are 4 ft. wide by 3 ft. high. They are tri-fold with each side being 1 ft. wide and the center 2 ft. wide. Please make sure your poster fits the board. The boards can accommodate up to 16 pages of paper measuring 8.5 inches by 11 inches.

Wednesday, August 20, 2014
Hamner Conference Center Auditorium
15 TW Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC


8:30-8:45 a.m. Registration
  Session 3: Large Computational Models in Ecology
Organizer: Lea Jenkins (Clemson University)
8:45-9:30 Randall Hanson, US Geological Survey
Examples of Large Integrated Hydrologic Models using MODFLOW-OWHM
9:30-10:15 Bertrand Lemasson, US Army Corps of Engineers
The Influence of Cognition, Individual Capability, and Social Interactions in Modeling Animal Movements
10:15-10:45 Break
10:45-11:30 Jennifer Tate and Matthew Farthing, US Army Corps of Engineers
Large Computational Modeling by USACE
11:30-11:50 Discussant 1: Don DeAngelis, US Geological Survey and Miami University
11:50-12:10 Discussant 2: Lea Jenkins, Department of Mathematics, Clemson University
12:10-12:30 Open discussion
12:30-1:45 Lunch
  Session 4: Critical Thresholds and Resilience; Applications to Forest Degradation
Organizers: Lou Gross (University of Tennessee), Ron McRoberts (US Forest Service), Phil Dixon (Iowa State University)
1:45-2:30 Lou Gross, University of Tennessee
Overview of Mathematical Approaches to Resilience, Stability and Transitions with Particular Application to Savanna Systems
2:30-3:15 Dan Hayes, ORNL
A Spatiotemporal Perspective on 30 Years of Forest Change as Viewed from Space
3:15-3:45 Discussant: Ron McRoberts, US Forest Service
3:45-4:00 Open discussion

Thursday, August 21, 2014
Hamner Conference Center Auditorium
15 TW Alexander Drive, Research Triangle Park, NC


8:30-8:45 a.m. Registration
  Session 5: Spatial Ecology
Organizers: Jay Ver Hoef (NOAA) and Lou Gross (University of Tennessee)
8:45-9:30 Marie-Josee Fortin, Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, University of Toronto
Spatial Ecology

Erin Peterson, CSIRO

Modelling Dendritic Ecological Networks

10:15-10:45 Break
10:45-11:30 Mevin Hooten, Department of Statistics, Colorado State University
First or Second Order? That is the Question
11:30-11:50 Discussant 1: Jay Ver Hoef, NOAA
11:50-12:10 Discusant 2: Lou Gross, Departments of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Mathematics, University of Tennessee
12:10-12:30 Open discussion
12:30-2:00 Lunch
2:00-5:00 Working Groups Formation Session

Friday, August 22, 2014


9:00-12:00 Initial meetings of Working Groups
12:00-1:00 Box Lunch
1:00 Adjourn
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